The Gallup Poll of Likely Voters

Perhaps you have seen the latest Gallup poll pushed on the Drudge Report that has Obama at 49 and McCain at 47 with likely voters. This could get a lot of press depending on what's going on in the news cycle, but don't hyperventilate about it.

Nate Silver from Fivethirtyeight.com who New York Magazine called "The Spreadsheet Psychic" explains why Drudge shouldn't be so hasty in latching onto this poll as an indicator of the state of this race. See Nate's post about it here.